Portland State
2025 Team Stats (32 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 942 (#193) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 956 (#215) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1009 (#157) | HCA +87 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.1 (#205) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -4.2 (#231) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.535 (#149) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.384 (#203) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.383 (#203) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.436 (#209) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.475 (#200) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.441 (#202) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.449 (#200) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 956 (#213) | RD 142 | GP 29 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylin Henderson
|
G | 32 | 32.4 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 11.1 | 7.4 | - | - | - | - | 43.2 | 32.9 | 67.9 | - | 53.4 | 51.1 |
Terri Miller Jr.
|
F | 32 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 10.2 | 71 | 21 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 51.5 | 26.6 | 68.2 | 1.11 | 56.8 | 54.3 |
Isaiah Johnson
|
F | 32 | 30.6 | 11.3 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 9.7 | - | - | - | - | 53.1 | 35.4 | 65.3 | - | 60.0 | 57.6 |
Qiant Myers
|
G | 32 | 33.1 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 9.2 | 8.3 | - | - | - | - | 41.8 | 31.6 | 59.1 | - | 49.9 | 46.9 |
Ismail Habib
|
G | 7 | 22.7 | 8.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.3 | 0.6 | -33 | 2 | -16.5 | -21.5 | 29.2 | 35.6 | 50.0 | -0.46 | 42.9 | 41.5 |
T. Minott
|
C | 31 | 22.5 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 12.5 | 56 | 28 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 66.9 | 0 | 59.2 | 0.62 | 67.0 | 66.9 |
Cole Farrell
|
G | 31 | 18.6 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 3.9 | -14 | 17 | -0.8 | -1.7 | 42.8 | 37.7 | 55.6 | -0.19 | 50.6 | 49.2 |
Shane Nowell
|
G | 30 | 16.0 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 40.9 | 31.7 | 71.4 | - | 51.8 | 47.1 |
Hayden Curtiss
|
C | 21 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 6.4 | - | - | - | - | 53.2 | 36.1 | 61.9 | - | 61.0 | 60.1 |
Kelcy Phipps
|
G | 28 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 2.9 | -15 | 15 | -1.0 | -4.2 | 37.9 | 37.5 | 52.2 | -0.07 | 43.3 | 40.5 |
Isaac Brice
|
F | 24 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -20 | 13 | -1.5 | -14.9 | 60.0 | 9.1 | 57.1 | -0.49 | 62.0 | 61.7 |
Alex Dupre
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sebastian Tidor
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2024-2025 Shot Zones
471 located field-goal attempts in 8 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Terri Miller Jr.Qiant MyersIsaiah JohnsonJaylin HendersonT. MinottCole FarrellIsaac Brice
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 76-108 | 70.4 | 152 | Terri Miller Jr. 24% (36 pts) | Isaiah Johnson 17% (26 pts) | T. Minott 25% (8 misses) | Cole Farrell 22% (7 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 77-168 | 45.8 | 154 | Terri Miller Jr. 32% (50 pts) | Isaiah Johnson 17% (26 pts) | Terri Miller Jr. 25% (23 misses) | Qiant Myers 24% (22 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-9 | 33.3 | 6 | Terri Miller Jr. 100% (6 pts) | - | Jaylin Henderson 33% (2 misses) | Isaiah Johnson 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-7 | 14.3 | 2 | Jaylin Henderson 100% (2 pts) | - | Jaylin Henderson 33% (2 misses) | Qiant Myers 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-14 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jaylin Henderson 29% (4 misses) | Isaiah Johnson 21% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-17 | 23.5 | 12 | Isaac Brice 25% (3 pts) | Isaiah Johnson 25% (3 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 54% (7 misses) | Cole Farrell 15% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-14 | 21.4 | 9 | Cole Farrell 67% (6 pts) | Hayden Curtiss 33% (3 pts) | Isaiah Johnson 27% (3 misses) | Jaylin Henderson 27% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 20-54 | 37.0 | 60 | Jaylin Henderson 30% (18 pts) | Isaiah Johnson 20% (12 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 24% (8 misses) | Isaiah Johnson 21% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 9-31 | 29.0 | 27 | Qiant Myers 67% (18 pts) | Cole Farrell 11% (3 pts) | Qiant Myers 55% (12 misses) | Terri Miller Jr. 14% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 12-49 | 24.5 | 36 | Qiant Myers 25% (9 pts) | Isaiah Johnson 17% (6 pts) | Jaylin Henderson 32% (12 misses) | Cole Farrell 14% (5 misses) |