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Portland State

Also known as: Portland State Vikings
Program History

2025 Team Stats (32 games)

75.6
PPG
69.6
Opp
+6.0
Margin
47.3%
FG%
32.7%
3P%
63.0%
FT%
36.8
RPG
14.6
APG
12.7
TO
69.5
Est. poss./game
68.3
Adj PPG
71.1
Adj Opp PPG
#209
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 942 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 956 (#215) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 1009 (#157) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -3.1 (#205) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -4.2 (#231) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.535 (#149) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.1 More โ†’ 0.384 (#203) AdjNet -4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.1 More โ†’ 0.383 (#203) AdjNet -4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.436 (#209) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 71.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 68.6 More โ†’ 0.475 (#200) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.441 (#202) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.449 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 142 | GP 29 More โ†’ 956 (#213) RD 142 | GP 29

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ Washington State Cougars L 92 - 100
2024-11-07 vs Evergreen State Geoducks W 131 - 84
2024-11-12 @ San Diego Toreros W 85 - 76
2024-11-22 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 74 - 91
2024-11-23 vs St. Thomas Tommies L 65 - 91
2024-11-24 vs Wofford Terriers W 79 - 74
2024-11-30 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers W 71 - 68
2024-12-04 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 74 - 91
2024-12-07 vs Denver Pioneers L 67 - 68
2024-12-14 vs Northwest Indian RedHawks W 110 - 48
2024-12-18 @ Pacific Tigers W 81 - 75
2024-12-21 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 59 - 58
2024-12-31 vs Walla Walla Wolves W 96 - 39
2025-01-04 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 53 - 56
2025-01-09 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 64 - 59
2025-01-11 vs Idaho Vandals W 75 - 63
2025-01-16 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 69 - 72
2025-01-18 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 80 - 69
2025-01-23 vs Weber State Wildcats W 74 - 56
2025-01-25 vs Idaho State Bengals W 76 - 59
2025-01-30 @ Montana Grizzlies L 78 - 92
2025-02-01 @ Montana State Bobcats L 73 - 74
2025-02-06 @ Idaho Vandals W 76 - 69
2025-02-08 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 67 - 72
2025-02-13 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 58 - 46
2025-02-15 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 82 - 71
2025-02-20 @ Idaho State Bengals L 74 - 82
2025-02-22 @ Weber State Wildcats L 58 - 60
2025-02-27 vs Montana State Bobcats W 69 - 52
2025-03-01 vs Montana Grizzlies W 79 - 76
2025-03-03 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 59 - 56
2025-03-10 vs Idaho Vandals L 70 - 80

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaylin Henderson Jaylin Henderson G 32 32.4 13.0 3.8 1.7 1.3 0.6 2.0 11.1 7.4 - - - - 43.2 32.9 67.9 - 53.4 51.1
Terri Miller Jr. Terri Miller Jr. F 32 21.5 12.1 5.5 2.0 1.6 0.4 1.8 9.5 10.2 71 21 3.4 5.6 51.5 26.6 68.2 1.11 56.8 54.3
Isaiah Johnson Isaiah Johnson F 32 30.6 11.3 5.1 1.2 1.1 0.6 1.5 8.1 9.7 - - - - 53.1 35.4 65.3 - 60.0 57.6
Qiant Myers Qiant Myers G 32 33.1 10.8 2.5 6.1 1.0 0.6 3.5 9.2 8.3 - - - - 41.8 31.6 59.1 - 49.9 46.9
Ismail Habib Ismail Habib G 7 22.7 8.7 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 1.0 9.3 0.6 -33 2 -16.5 -21.5 29.2 35.6 50.0 -0.46 42.9 41.5
T. Minott T. Minott C 31 22.5 7.6 7.6 0.4 0.8 1.7 1.0 4.6 12.5 56 28 2.0 2.7 66.9 0 59.2 0.62 67.0 66.9
Cole Farrell Cole Farrell G 31 18.6 6.5 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.5 5.8 3.9 -14 17 -0.8 -1.7 42.8 37.7 55.6 -0.19 50.6 49.2
Shane Nowell Shane Nowell G 30 16.0 6.2 3.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.9 5.1 5.2 - - - - 40.9 31.7 71.4 - 51.8 47.1
Hayden Curtiss Hayden Curtiss C 21 16.5 6.0 3.4 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.2 4.5 6.4 - - - - 53.2 36.1 61.9 - 61.0 60.1
Kelcy Phipps Kelcy Phipps G 28 9.8 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.5 2.1 2.9 -15 15 -1.0 -4.2 37.9 37.5 52.2 -0.07 43.3 40.5
Isaac Brice Isaac Brice F 24 5.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.4 -20 13 -1.5 -14.9 60.0 9.1 57.1 -0.49 62.0 61.7
Alex Dupre Alex Dupre G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sebastian Tidor Sebastian Tidor G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2024-2025 Shot Zones

471 located field-goal attempts in 8 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Miller24% Miller32% Miller100% Henderson100% Brice25% Farrell67% Henderson30% Myers67% Myers25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Minott25% Miller25% Henderson33% Henderson33% Henderson29% Henderson54% Johnson27% Henderson24% Myers55% Henderson32%
Misses: who misses most here

Terri Miller Jr.Qiant MyersIsaiah JohnsonJaylin HendersonT. MinottCole FarrellIsaac Brice

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 76-108 70.4 152 Terri Miller Jr. 24% (36 pts) Isaiah Johnson 17% (26 pts) T. Minott 25% (8 misses) Cole Farrell 22% (7 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 77-168 45.8 154 Terri Miller Jr. 32% (50 pts) Isaiah Johnson 17% (26 pts) Terri Miller Jr. 25% (23 misses) Qiant Myers 24% (22 misses)
Mid-range left 3-9 33.3 6 Terri Miller Jr. 100% (6 pts) - Jaylin Henderson 33% (2 misses) Isaiah Johnson 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-7 14.3 2 Jaylin Henderson 100% (2 pts) - Jaylin Henderson 33% (2 misses) Qiant Myers 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 0-14 0.0 0 - - Jaylin Henderson 29% (4 misses) Isaiah Johnson 21% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 4-17 23.5 12 Isaac Brice 25% (3 pts) Isaiah Johnson 25% (3 pts) Jaylin Henderson 54% (7 misses) Cole Farrell 15% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 3-14 21.4 9 Cole Farrell 67% (6 pts) Hayden Curtiss 33% (3 pts) Isaiah Johnson 27% (3 misses) Jaylin Henderson 27% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 left 20-54 37.0 60 Jaylin Henderson 30% (18 pts) Isaiah Johnson 20% (12 pts) Jaylin Henderson 24% (8 misses) Isaiah Johnson 21% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 center 9-31 29.0 27 Qiant Myers 67% (18 pts) Cole Farrell 11% (3 pts) Qiant Myers 55% (12 misses) Terri Miller Jr. 14% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 12-49 24.5 36 Qiant Myers 25% (9 pts) Isaiah Johnson 17% (6 pts) Jaylin Henderson 32% (12 misses) Cole Farrell 14% (5 misses)