Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | -14.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +3 (56-53). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qiant Myers * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Isaiah Johnson * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Jaylin Henderson * | 26 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +5.2 |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shane Nowell * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -10.6 |
| Cole Farrell | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Hayden Curtiss | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.3 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Nunn * | 37 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 7-12 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Jacob Holt * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | +4.6 |
| Emil Skytta * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Lachlan Brewer * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +10.7 |
| Julian Vaughns * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Bowyn Beatty | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +6.5 |
| EJ Neal | 26 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Michael Wilson | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter