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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 73.6% 26.4% -
Bradley-Terry 73.9% 26.1% -
Margin 57.0% 43.0% -1.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 70.9% 29.1% -
Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% -
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% -
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Pacific Tigers -6 (75-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Myers 37 5-9 0-1 0-0 1 11 1 1 2 10 13 +6.9
J. Henderson 32 5-10 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 11 2 +5.4
I. Johnson 30 4-9 0-0 4-5 11 1 1 4 1 12 19 -7.4
S. Nowell 27 4-12 2-4 5-6 3 0 1 2 1 15 8 -4.5
C. Farrell 24 6-10 2-3 4-6 5 3 2 0 0 18 18 +10.4
T. Miller Jr. 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 8 0 1 0 4 4 2 +8.6
H. Curtiss 15 2-3 0-0 0-3 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 +8.3
T. Minott 15 2-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 2 0 7 12 -
I. Brice 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Phipps 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Koulibaly 40 4-12 3-8 4-5 5 2 1 0 4 15 7 -3.9
L. Washington 36 4-13 0-3 6-8 7 6 0 0 2 14 12 -3.9
P. Krivokapic 35 3-7 2-6 3-3 5 2 1 0 0 11 12 -1.8
E. Fisher 34 2-10 0-3 11-12 5 1 0 1 1 15 11 -7.1
E. Ralph 23 4-7 0-1 7-8 7 2 1 3 3 15 18 -2.2
C. Benton 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 +11.7
J. Gardner 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.3
B. Smith 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.9
A. Campbell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3.9
K. Keinys 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.9
S. Ominu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter