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Omaha Mavericks

Also known as: Omaha Mavericks
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1083 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1176 (#250) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 969 (#464) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +14.0 (#359) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -2.7 (#355) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.356 (#553) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 77.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.425 (#337) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.415 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 174 | GP 31 More → 940 (#280) RD 174 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Simmons J. Simmons G 31 28.4 16.7 4.0 2.1 1.2 0.6 3.0 0.9 20.7 -254 -8.2 -13.7 48.3 20.0 50.0 0.54 840.4 50.0
J. Karhoff J. Karhoff C 31 27.8 12.0 4.1 2.4 0.8 0.7 1.7 0.6 17.7 -163 -5.3 -8.8 40.0 0.0 75.0 -0.3 792.9 40.0
C. Carter C. Carter G 30 29.2 9.7 3.1 2.8 1.1 0.1 2.6 0.5 13.7 120 9.2 8.0 42.9 66.7 0 0.53 1035.7 50.0
A. Welhouse A. Welhouse - 31 27.0 8.3 4.7 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.4 0.2 12.8 -260 -8.4 -14.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.09 1649.5 33.3
A. Phillips A. Phillips G 31 21.1 8.2 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.3 0.5 9.9 -177 -5.9 -13.2 31.2 0.0 0 -0.67 793.8 31.2
M. Tyus M. Tyus G 31 17.1 6.0 2.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.2 0.2 8.6 -158 -5.1 -10.1 14.3 33.3 40.0 -0.81 1005.4 21.4
C. Steffensmeier C. Steffensmeier G 31 18.5 3.5 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.6 0.3 6.6 -141 -4.9 -10.0 12.5 16.7 0 -0.36 687.5 18.8
K. Doluony K. Doluony F 7 14.9 2.7 2.6 0.4 0.6 0.0 1.6 0.0 4.7 -28 -4.7 -15.7 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
M. Hagerbaumer M. Hagerbaumer F 31 13.8 2.7 3.5 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 7.5 -126 -4.1 -10.3 50.0 0 0 -0.48 2075.0 50.0
J. Coleman J. Coleman - 25 6.8 2.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.9 0.3 3.0 147 4.3 7.0 42.9 50.0 50.0 0.88 361.7 50.0
S. Krych S. Krych F 19 8.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.9 -57 -3.2 -10.5 100.0 0 0 -0.14 950.0 100.0
T. Egli T. Egli - 23 5.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.9 -21 -0.9 -3.3 75.0 66.7 100.0 0.03 338.1 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG