Model Predictions
| Model | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Omaha Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Omaha Mavericks -15 (81-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Petros * | 36 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Drew Valentine * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Travis Bader * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 13-14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Dante Williams * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Bass * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Duke Mondy | 36 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Matt Poches | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Raphael Carter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joey Asbury | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Omaha Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Carter * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Justin Simmons * | 35 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Alex Welhouse * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Alex Phillips * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| John Karhoff * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Tyus | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Hagerbaumer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Steffensmeier | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jacques Coleman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter