Model Predictions
| Model | Omaha Mavericks | South Dakota Coyotes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Dakota Coyotes -5 (90-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Omaha Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Welhouse * | 37 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| CJ Carter * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | +8.8 |
| Justin Simmons * | 33 | 10-21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 9 | +2.3 |
| John Karhoff * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Alex Phillips * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Marcus Tyus | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Caleb Steffensmeier | 18 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +3.8 |
| Matt Hagerbaumer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +12.2 |
| Tyler Egli | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
South Dakota Coyotes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bos * | 40 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | -15.1 |
| Trevor Gruis * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | -9.7 |
| Juevol Myles * | 34 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 13 | -11.6 |
| Casey Kasperbauer * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Steve Tecker * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | -8.8 |
| Jordan Boots | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -5.5 |
| Karim Rowson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -7.2 |
| Eric Robertson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.2 |
* = starter