Model Predictions
| Model | Omaha Mavericks | Kansas City Roos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kansas City Roos -8 (59-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Omaha Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Karhoff * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| CJ Carter * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Justin Simmons * | 33 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Alex Welhouse * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Alex Phillips * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Steffensmeier | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Tyus | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jacques Coleman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Hagerbaumer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Egli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estan Tyler * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Staton * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Brad Reid * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Nelson Kirksey * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Washington * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nate Rogers | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trinity Hall | 19 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kirk Korver | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Fred Chatmon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mason Wedel | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter