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Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2007 Team Stats (23 games)

96.1
PPG
93.1
Opp
+3.0
Margin
48.3%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
71.1%
FT%
41.1
RPG
19.2
APG
16.0
TO
91.6
Est. poss./game
93.1
Adj PPG
93.0
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 982 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 970 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +63 elo More โ†’ 971 (#18) HCA +63 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +0.1 (#12) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +1.0 (#13) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.510 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.1 More โ†’ 0.560 (#12) NetEff +2.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.3 More โ†’ 0.510 (#11) AdjNet +0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.4 More โ†’ 0.510 (#11) AdjNet +0.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 93.1 | AdjD 93.0 More โ†’ 0.502 (#12) AdjO 93.1 | AdjD 93.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 94.1 More โ†’ 0.521 (#13) AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 94.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.494 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.498 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 197 | GP 86 More โ†’ 973 (#18) RD 197 | GP 86

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2007-02-26 @ Chicago Bulls W 94 - 87
2007-02-28 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2007-03-02 @ San Antonio Spurs L 74 - 98
2007-03-03 @ Dallas Mavericks L 98 - 103
2007-03-05 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 99 - 81
2007-03-08 vs Chicago Bulls L 76 - 100
2007-03-11 @ Houston Rockets L 92 - 103
2007-03-12 @ Charlotte Hornets L 108 - 119
2007-03-14 vs Utah Jazz W 101 - 90
2007-03-17 vs Sacramento Kings L 83 - 95
2007-03-18 @ Miami Heat W 97 - 83
2007-03-21 @ Toronto Raptors L 85 - 92
2007-03-23 vs Brooklyn Nets W 90 - 82
2007-03-26 @ New York Knicks W 94 - 89
2007-03-28 @ Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2007-03-30 vs Indiana Pacers W 95 - 87
2007-04-01 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 104 - 105
2007-04-04 vs Toronto Raptors L 108 - 111
2007-04-07 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 116 - 89
2007-04-09 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 117 - 94
2007-04-11 @ Detroit Pistons L 99 - 104
2007-04-14 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 104 - 87
2007-04-15 vs Boston Celtics W 88 - 86
2007-04-17 @ Washington Wizards W 95 - 89
2007-04-18 vs Miami Heat W 94 - 68

2007 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dwight Howard Dwight Howard G 23 38.1 16.7 12.7 2.4 0.8 1.9 4.1 9.9 20.4 - - - - 62.3 0 51.3 - 61.2 62.3
Hedo Turkoglu G 23 30.9 15.7 4.9 3.5 0.9 0.3 2.0 12.1 11.3 - - - - 45.0 40.7 88.4 - 57.1 51.3
Grant Hill G 20 30.9 13.8 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.5 1.8 10.2 7.4 - - - - 51.5 0.0 75.6 - 56.9 51.5
Jameer Nelson G 23 30.4 12.4 3.3 4.5 0.9 0.0 2.6 10.4 8.2 - - - - 42.7 27.5 89.5 - 52.5 45.6
Trevor Ariza Trevor Ariza G 23 22.1 9.3 4.2 1.0 1.0 0.4 1.7 6.6 7.6 - - - - 55.9 0.0 65.2 - 58.9 55.9
Darko Milicic G 21 25.1 7.8 6.0 1.2 0.4 1.9 1.1 6.2 10.0 - - - - 50.8 0 66.0 - 54.1 50.8
Keyon Dooling G 22 19.7 6.8 1.0 2.1 1.1 0.3 1.0 6.3 4.0 - - - - 38.4 23.1 85.1 - 46.9 39.5
Tony Battie G 16 22.4 6.1 5.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.9 5.4 6.4 - - - - 50.0 0 68.8 - 52.1 50.0
JJ Redick JJ Redick G 20 14.3 5.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.5 4.6 3.0 - - - - 41.3 36.7 96.0 - 57.3 51.1
Carlos Arroyo Carlos Arroyo G 17 12.8 4.9 0.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.5 3.1 - - - - 42.9 50.0 70.0 - 48.4 44.8
Keith Bogans G 11 16.3 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 4.5 1.8 - - - - 36.0 22.6 77.8 - 46.3 43.0
Bo Outlaw G 8 8.8 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.4 3.0 - - - - 63.6 0 33.3 - 60.9 63.6
Pat Garrity G 8 6.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.6 1.2 - - - - 30.8 25.0 80.0 - 42.8 34.6
Travis Diener G 2 5.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 - - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG