Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (103-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 40 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 39 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 14 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JJ Redick | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 11-17 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 28 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter