Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (98-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 30 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Bo Outlaw | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Pat Garrity | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 11-19 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter