๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2006 Team Stats (76 games)

95.0
PPG
96.2
Opp
-1.2
Margin
47.3%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
40.0
RPG
18.1
APG
14.4
TO
90.8
Est. poss./game
92.8
Adj PPG
94.0
Adj Opp PPG
#18
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1098 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 948 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1021 (#13) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ -1.2 (#18) HCA +3.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +1.9 (#10) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.468 (#16) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.4 More โ†’ 0.462 (#17) NetEff -1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.3 More โ†’ 0.462 (#18) AdjNet -1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.3 More โ†’ 0.462 (#17) AdjNet -1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.8 | AdjD 94.0 More โ†’ 0.472 (#18) AdjO 92.8 | AdjD 94.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 95.7 | AdjD 94.1 More โ†’ 0.535 (#10) AdjO 95.7 | AdjD 94.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.527 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.540 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 255 | GP 82 More โ†’ 1000 (#16) RD 255 | GP 82

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-02 vs Indiana Pacers L 78 - 90
2005-11-04 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 85 - 94
2005-11-05 @ Washington Wizards L 79 - 87
2005-11-08 @ Houston Rockets W 76 - 74
2005-11-09 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 88 - 83
2005-11-13 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 100 - 108
2005-11-15 vs Charlotte Hornets W 85 - 77
2005-11-18 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 84 - 102
2005-11-19 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 95 - 98
2005-11-23 vs Washington Wizards W 91 - 83
2005-11-25 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 104 - 89
2005-11-28 @ Boston Celtics W 87 - 83
2005-11-29 @ Chicago Bulls L 76 - 85
2005-12-02 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 69 - 91
2005-12-03 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 84 - 104
2005-12-05 vs San Antonio Spurs L 85 - 110
2005-12-07 vs Chicago Bulls L 93 - 102
2005-12-10 vs Denver Nuggets W 94 - 83
2005-12-14 @ New York Knicks W 105 - 90
2005-12-16 @ Dallas Mavericks L 103 - 109
2005-12-19 vs Toronto Raptors L 90 - 92
2005-12-21 vs Brooklyn Nets L 85 - 96
2005-12-23 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 88 - 104
2005-12-26 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 108 - 93
2005-12-28 vs New York Knicks W 105 - 95
2005-12-30 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 107 - 87
2006-01-03 @ Detroit Pistons L 99 - 108
2006-01-04 @ Toronto Raptors L 97 - 121
2006-01-06 @ Brooklyn Nets L 106 - 113
2006-01-07 vs Charlotte Hornets W 108 - 92
2006-01-10 @ LA Clippers L 73 - 90
2006-01-11 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 104 - 113
2006-01-13 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2006-01-15 @ Sacramento Kings L 100 - 104
2006-01-18 vs Washington Wizards W 106 - 98
2006-01-20 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2006-01-21 vs Sacramento Kings W 83 - 78
2006-01-24 vs Phoenix Suns W 111 - 102
2006-01-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 119 - 115
2006-01-27 @ New York Knicks L 94 - 97
2006-01-29 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 81 - 89
2006-02-01 vs LA Clippers L 94 - 106
2006-02-03 @ Atlanta Hawks L 94 - 96
2006-02-04 vs Boston Celtics W 100 - 91
2006-02-06 @ Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2006-02-08 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2006-02-10 vs Detroit Pistons L 73 - 84
2006-02-12 @ Boston Celtics L 94 - 102
2006-02-14 @ Miami Heat L 93 - 107
2006-02-15 vs Miami Heat L 100 - 110
2006-02-21 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 92 - 105
2006-02-22 @ Brooklyn Nets L 93 - 96
2006-02-24 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 102 - 89
2006-02-26 vs Houston Rockets L 84 - 89
2006-02-28 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 87 - 102
2006-03-01 @ Golden State Warriors L 94 - 98
2006-03-03 @ Phoenix Suns L 118 - 123
2006-03-04 @ Denver Nuggets L 94 - 110
2006-03-06 @ Utah Jazz L 85 - 90
2006-03-10 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 102 - 73
2006-03-13 @ Indiana Pacers L 83 - 97
2006-03-15 vs Utah Jazz W 114 - 108
2006-03-17 vs Boston Celtics W 84 - 77
2006-03-19 @ Atlanta Hawks L 107 - 108
2006-03-21 @ Charlotte Hornets L 102 - 108
2006-03-22 vs New York Knicks W 111 - 87
2006-03-24 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 102 - 86
2006-03-26 vs Atlanta Hawks W 108 - 101
2006-03-28 @ Chicago Bulls W 97 - 93
2006-03-29 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 91 - 103
2006-03-31 vs Dallas Mavericks W 108 - 99
2006-04-05 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 108 - 105
2006-04-07 vs Detroit Pistons W 89 - 87
2006-04-09 @ Miami Heat W 93 - 84
2006-04-10 vs Atlanta Hawks W 105 - 88
2006-04-12 vs Toronto Raptors W 103 - 96
2006-04-13 @ San Antonio Spurs W 92 - 80
2006-04-15 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 102 - 97
2006-04-17 vs Chicago Bulls L 112 - 116
2006-04-19 @ Indiana Pacers L 83 - 89

2006 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Steve Francis G 42 37.8 16.9 4.8 5.7 1.1 0.2 3.4 12.9 12.5 - - - - 43.2 27.3 80.1 - 53.4 44.8
Dwight Howard Dwight Howard G 76 36.8 15.8 12.3 1.5 0.8 1.4 2.6 10.7 18.5 - - - - 53.5 0.0 59.0 - 56.7 53.5
Grant Hill G 21 29.2 15.1 3.8 2.3 1.1 0.3 1.7 11.6 9.4 - - - - 49.0 25.0 76.5 - 55.2 49.4
Jameer Nelson G 58 28.5 14.8 2.9 4.7 1.1 0.2 2.4 11.6 9.8 - - - - 49.5 43.0 78.0 - 57.9 54.5
Hedo Turkoglu G 72 33.0 14.5 3.9 2.8 0.9 0.2 1.7 10.9 9.8 - - - - 45.5 40.4 85.9 - 57.9 52.0
DeShawn Stevenson G 76 31.8 10.8 2.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 1.5 9.3 5.7 - - - - 46.4 14.3 75.0 - 51.1 46.5
Carlos Arroyo Carlos Arroyo G 26 22.1 10.8 2.3 3.0 0.7 0.0 1.4 8.2 7.3 - - - - 50.5 35.7 80.8 - 57.2 51.7
Keyon Dooling G 47 22.7 9.2 1.6 2.2 1.0 0.1 1.7 8.0 4.4 - - - - 43.6 30.2 83.0 - 51.0 45.3
Tony Battie G 76 27.1 7.9 5.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 6.8 7.6 - - - - 49.9 0.0 68.5 - 52.6 49.9
Darko Milicic G 29 20.9 7.6 4.1 1.0 0.3 2.1 1.1 6.6 7.3 - - - - 50.5 0 59.5 - 52.0 50.5
Pat Garrity G 52 16.3 4.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 4.2 2.9 - - - - 41.5 37.1 81.8 - 54.0 51.4
Trevor Ariza Trevor Ariza G 21 13.8 4.7 3.9 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 3.8 5.5 - - - - 40.0 0.0 70.0 - 48.5 40.0
Kelvin Cato G 21 12.3 4.0 2.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 3.1 3.6 - - - - 46.2 0 72.7 - 52.8 46.2
Travis Diener G 19 10.2 3.1 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.4 2.7 1.9 - - - - 38.5 41.5 100.0 - 55.8 54.8
Mario Kasun G 26 7.7 2.9 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.5 2.4 - - - - 45.3 0 78.3 - 51.3 45.3
Bo Outlaw G 30 11.2 2.2 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.8 3.6 - - - - 57.4 0 62.5 - 58.2 57.4
Stacey Augmon G 32 10.7 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.0 2.2 - - - - 33.3 0 66.7 - 39.4 33.3
Terence Morris G 21 8.7 1.6 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.3 1.4 - - - - 31.2 0.0 100.0 - 33.5 31.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG