Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (84-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 35 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter