Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 41 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 40 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 33 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 32 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 47 | 17-24 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 30 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 47 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 43 | 11-24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 39 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| John Edwards * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter