Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (109-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 38 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mario Kasun * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 12-19 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 36 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 27 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DJ Mbenga * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter