Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 15-27 | 3-10 | 5-7 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 28 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 39 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Josh Powell | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rawle Marshall | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 31 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter