🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Colorado Bears
Program History
Coach: Steve Smiley

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

82.1
PPG
75.6
Opp
+6.5
Margin
48.6%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
36.8
RPG
16.4
APG
10.7
TO
79.4
Pace
78.5
AdjO
78.2
AdjD
#157
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1105 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 985 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1060 (#88) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +1.3 (#144) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.9 (#154) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.599 (#116) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.0 More → 0.587 (#148) NetEff +3.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.520 (#157) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.521 (#157) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 78.2 More → 0.508 (#157) AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 78.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.615 (#100) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 73.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.803 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.770 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 30 More → 1099 (#140) RD 143 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Colorado College Tigers W 91 - 57
2025-11-07 vs Colorado Christian Cougars W 101 - 65
2025-11-15 @ Pepperdine Waves W 88 - 81
2025-11-21 @ St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies L 72 - 73
2025-11-22 @ Portland Pilots W 86 - 80
2025-11-23 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 97 - 93
2025-11-26 @ Air Force Falcons W 71 - 53
2025-11-29 vs Regis (CO) REGIS UNIVERSITY W 104 - 63
2025-12-03 @ Omaha Mavericks W 75 - 70
2025-12-16 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 90 - 101
2025-12-20 vs Denver Pioneers L 79 - 86
2025-12-28 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 86 - 81
2026-01-01 @ Montana State Bobcats L 75 - 89
2026-01-03 @ Montana Grizzlies L 79 - 88
2026-01-08 vs Idaho State Bengals W 85 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Weber State Wildcats L 71 - 76
2026-01-15 @ Portland State Vikings L 73 - 76
2026-01-19 vs Montana State Bobcats L 68 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 77 - 81
2026-01-29 vs Idaho Vandals W 91 - 83
2026-01-31 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 74 - 71
2026-02-05 @ Weber State Wildcats W 88 - 74
2026-02-07 @ Idaho State Bengals W 69 - 61
2026-02-12 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 95 - 79
2026-02-14 vs Portland State Vikings W 77 - 65
2026-02-21 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 78 - 77
2026-02-26 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 72 - 82
2026-02-28 @ Idaho Vandals W 76 - 67
2026-03-02 vs Montana Grizzlies W 85 - 57
2026-03-09 @ Montana Grizzlies L 89 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Q. Denker Q. Denker - 28 35.1 19.4 5.2 7.1 0.6 0.4 2.2 14.2 16.3 145 6.9 11.8 47.9 34.9 81.0 0.52 58.7 53.5
B. Wisne B. Wisne - 29 32.5 16.8 6.5 2.7 0.9 0.4 2.3 12.1 12.8 137 5.7 14.3 56.7 33.8 72.1 1.11 62.5 60.4
Z. Bloch Z. Bloch - 30 32.2 11.4 2.6 2.2 1.4 0.0 0.9 8.5 8.3 124 5.0 12.5 42.5 42.5 82.0 0.24 62.0 59.3
I. Yamazaki I. Yamazaki F 30 26.6 9.9 3.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.0 7.6 6.3 41 1.8 3.8 41.4 37.0 92.3 -0.62 59.2 54.6
R. Nyeri R. Nyeri - 30 25.6 8.5 6.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.9 6.6 9.4 63 2.7 7.0 53.0 35.4 60.0 -0.13 59.5 58.8
V. Delano V. Delano G 30 19.9 6.0 2.0 1.6 0.2 0.1 1.1 5.2 3.6 46 2.0 5.8 40.4 28.2 75.0 -0.32 51.6 47.4
E. Shields E. Shields - 29 16.7 5.8 4.7 0.9 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.5 7.4 59 2.7 8.1 64.7 0 66.7 -0.04 66.8 64.7
C. White C. White - 6 9.0 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.8 39 1.9 8.7 42.1 30.0 88.9 0.69 58.8 50.0
A. Mawien A. Mawien - 29 8.8 3.2 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.9 2.4 77 3.7 22.6 44.6 23.1 68.8 0.5 52.2 50.0
Tanner Braketa Tanner Braketa - 11 6.9 2.7 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 1.6 13 1.2 13.9 47.8 40.0 0 0.02 65.2 65.2
H. Caldwell H. Caldwell - 12 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 1.7 -14 -1.6 -32.7 54.5 46.2 0 -0.19 68.2 68.2
W. Humer W. Humer - 4 10.8 2.2 3.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.2 - - - 36.4 33.3 0.0 - 39.3 40.9
W. Asp W. Asp - 2 8.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 2.5 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 50.0 0 -0.0 50.0 50.0
Kaden Ericksen Kaden Ericksen G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Steven Ramirez Jr. Steven Ramirez Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -6 -0.3 -0.7 - - - -0.93 - -
Will Dixion III Will Dixion III G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 52 3.2 4.6 - - - 0.42 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG