🐻⬇️🏀

Portland State

Also known as: Portland State Vikings
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

77.9
PPG
71.3
Opp
+6.6
Margin
46.4%
FG%
33.2%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
37.1
RPG
14.4
APG
11.7
TO
81.3
Pace
71.5
AdjO
71.3
AdjD
#160
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 995 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1029 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1048 (#109) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +0.9 (#150) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +12.6 (#193) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.606 (#108) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.9 More → 0.675 (#120) NetEff +5.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.507 (#162) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.507 (#162) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.504 (#160) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.575 (#143) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.773 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.734 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 29 More → 1101 (#138) RD 140 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Stanford Cardinal L 79 - 89
2025-11-07 vs Northwest Indian RedHawks W 122 - 74
2025-11-12 @ San Francisco Dons L 70 - 80
2025-11-17 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 93 - 80
2025-11-19 vs Evergreen State Geoducks W 90 - 61
2025-11-25 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers W 68 - 63
2025-12-03 @ South Dakota Coyotes W 77 - 71
2025-12-13 vs George Fox Bruins W 94 - 50
2025-12-17 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 73 - 84
2025-12-20 @ Tulane Green Wave L 61 - 63
2026-01-01 @ Weber State Wildcats W 95 - 90
2026-01-03 @ Idaho State Bengals W 93 - 87
2026-01-10 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 96 - 69
2026-01-15 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 76 - 73
2026-01-22 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 65 - 61
2026-01-24 @ Idaho Vandals W 69 - 66
2026-01-29 vs Montana Grizzlies L 60 - 64
2026-01-31 vs Montana State Bobcats W 63 - 54
2026-02-02 vs Idaho State Bengals W 88 - 65
2026-02-07 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 74 - 73
2026-02-12 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 77 - 68
2026-02-14 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 65 - 77
2026-02-19 vs Idaho Vandals W 77 - 67
2026-02-21 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 55 - 67
2026-02-26 @ Montana State Bobcats L 69 - 84
2026-02-28 @ Montana Grizzlies L 68 - 74
2026-03-02 vs Weber State Wildcats W 84 - 60
2026-03-08 vs Idaho State Bengals W 85 - 78
2026-03-10 vs Montana Grizzlies L 72 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Miller Jr. T. Miller Jr. - 28 31.4 19.4 5.7 3.3 1.4 0.6 2.8 14.5 13.1 103 5.2 9.3 50.7 40.2 71.7 0.44 59.7 57.0
J. Henderson J. Henderson - 29 37.2 18.7 4.0 5.8 1.7 0.3 2.9 14.7 13.0 64 3.6 4.8 43.3 28.4 80.0 0.03 53.8 46.9
K. Kensie Jr. K. Kensie Jr. - 27 30.1 10.5 6.9 1.1 1.3 0.7 1.4 8.9 10.1 120 7.1 12.0 42.1 27.1 70.0 0.82 50.8 46.0
T. Minott T. Minott - 29 28.3 10.0 8.9 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.1 6.3 13.5 94 4.9 9.2 64.8 0 61.4 0.48 65.7 64.8
K. Phipps K. Phipps - 29 17.6 4.9 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.8 3.5 4.4 26 1.3 4.7 48.5 44.4 50.0 -0.58 59.9 60.4
S. Tidor S. Tidor - 25 13.1 4.5 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 4.0 2.6 53 3.1 11.1 36.6 34.2 70.0 0.01 51.5 49.0
Isaiah Williams Isaiah Williams G 22 14.6 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.5 3.1 3.2 0 0.0 0.0 40.6 25.0 76.9 -0.05 53.5 47.8
B. Long B. Long - 26 10.7 3.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.1 63 3.9 27.8 37.5 38.8 83.3 0.35 60.8 54.5
A. Dupre A. Dupre - 28 15.4 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.4 3.1 2.4 46 2.4 7.2 28.4 29.2 88.9 -0.18 44.1 36.4
C. Chukwu C. Chukwu - 20 4.3 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.6 27 1.9 26.8 83.3 0 0.0 0.08 79.4 83.3
M. Downing-Rivers M. Downing-Rivers G 18 5.3 1.2 0.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 26 2.4 24.9 53.3 0.0 100.0 0.03 61.0 53.3
Samuel Stewart Iv Samuel Stewart Iv - 11 4.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.8 19 3.8 223.5 30.8 12.5 0 -0.05 34.6 34.6
K. Webb K. Webb - 4 6.2 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 2.5 23 5.8 94.8 50.0 0 14.3 -0.05 29.5 50.0
Colt Ness Colt Ness - 10 5.6 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 10 1.7 21.3 30.8 0.0 0 -0.06 30.8 30.8
Brayden Barron Brayden Barron - 19 4.3 0.8 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 13 1.1 27.6 53.3 0 0.0 -0.01 50.4 53.3
I. Brice I. Brice F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Matt Beatty Matt Beatty C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG