🐻⬇️🏀

Idaho State Bengals

Also known as: Idaho State Bengals
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

74.4
PPG
75.9
Opp
-1.5
Margin
45.3%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
33.7
RPG
11.8
APG
11.3
TO
77.1
Pace
72.0
AdjO
77.2
AdjD
#237
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 800 (#328) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 800 (#323) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 919 (#646) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -4.4 (#229) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +4.8 (#308) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.355 (#261) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.2 More → 0.116 (#304) NetEff -19.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.315 (#239) AdjNet -6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.7 More → 0.315 (#238) AdjNet -6.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.383 (#237) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 77.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.428 (#555) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 75.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.600 (#285) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.546 (#291) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 30 More → 912 (#436) RD 144 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Hollenbeck C. Hollenbeck F 30 29.5 13.0 4.8 1.6 0.9 0.4 1.9 8.9 9.9 -51 -2.1 -4.1 45.1 33.6 78.3 -0.36 59.1 52.1
Caleb Van De Griend Caleb Van De Griend - 30 18.3 11.8 6.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.0 8.3 10.8 33 1.5 4.4 54.4 31.6 68.2 -0.05 60.2 56.9
Jamison Guerra Jamison Guerra - 30 25.5 9.1 2.2 3.7 0.7 0.1 1.6 6.8 7.5 -40 -1.8 -3.7 44.3 42.3 77.2 0.15 57.6 52.5
G. Etchison G. Etchison - 29 13.3 8.9 1.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 1.2 7.2 4.5 -31 -1.5 -7.6 45.2 32.6 67.2 -0.37 55.2 52.6
Martin Kheil Martin Kheil - 28 29.2 8.7 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.8 7.3 4.9 29 1.4 2.6 37.3 34.3 79.1 0.26 54.5 51.2
L. Brewer L. Brewer - 30 29.3 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.3 6.5 5.4 3 0.1 0.3 44.8 31.1 81.6 -0.98 56.2 53.1
Louis Bond Louis Bond - 23 14.3 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.9 3.5 3.7 13 1.0 4.6 45.0 36.7 83.8 0.09 59.2 51.9
E. Otten E. Otten F 30 14.6 4.4 3.8 0.3 0.2 1.8 0.8 3.4 6.3 -43 -1.8 -7.3 52.0 0 53.2 -0.26 53.4 52.0
B. Daberkow B. Daberkow F 29 8.1 3.6 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 2.4 3.3 28 1.3 8.6 55.1 0.0 65.9 0.3 59.2 55.1
C. Sow C. Sow - 29 16.7 2.9 3.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 2.3 4.4 27 1.2 3.9 31.3 7.1 78.0 0.49 46.6 32.8
Q. Patterson Q. Patterson - 22 8.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.8 1 0.1 0.4 32.4 28.1 66.7 -0.44 48.7 45.6
J. Brown J. Brown G 4 4.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.2 7 2.3 35.8 25.0 0.0 0 0.05 25.0 25.0
Landen Birley Landen Birley - 10 3.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 -8 -1.6 -65.3 50.0 0.0 0 -0.14 50.0 50.0
Kasen Carpenter Kasen Carpenter - 7 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 -0.4 -9 -1.8 -109.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.16 17.4 0.0
Trey Arland Trey Arland G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG