UC Davis - 2026-2027 | Sports Data

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

70.0

PPG

65.5

Opp

+4.5

Margin

38.6%

FG%

26.1%

3P%

65.6%

FT%

40.0

RPG

12.0

APG

15.5

TO

73.4

Est. poss./game

68.5

Adj PPG

73.3

Adj Opp PPG

#216

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 924 (returning production + recruiting): last season 970, returning +37, transfers -64, freshmen -20 More →	889 (#197)	Preseason prior 924 (returning production + recruiting): last season 970, returning +37, transfers -64, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +232 elo More →	951 (#198)	HCA +232 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +232 elo More →	969 (#220)	HCA +232 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.3 More →	-5.2 (#228)	HCA +1.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.3 More →	-5.1 (#228)	HCA +1.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.410 (#178)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.8 More →	0.453 (#178)	AdjNet -2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.7 More →	0.452 (#179)	AdjNet -2.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 \| AdjD 73.3 More →	0.428 (#216)	AdjO 68.5 \| AdjD 73.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 \| AdjD 73.3 More →	0.441 (#222)	AdjO 68.5 \| AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.416 (#210)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.419 (#209)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 220 \| GP 1 More →	946 (#188)	RD 220 \| GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More →	0.415 (#181)	Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2026-11-02	vs	North Alabama Lions	L	75 - 79
2026-11-05	vs	Menlo Oaks	W	65 - 52
2026-11-11	vs	Incarnate Word Cardinals	-	Preview
2026-11-14	@	Sacramento State Hornets	-	Preview
2026-11-17	vs	Alabama State Hornets	-	Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Veniamin Abosi	F	2	21.0	14.0	8.0	1.0	2.0	0.0	2.0	8.0	15.0	4	2	2.0	3.8	50.0	40.0	66.7	-0.36	61.9	56.2
Jalen Stokes	G	2	24.0	13.0	5.0	0.5	0.5	0.0	2.0	8.0	9.0	4	2	2.0	3.3	43.8	33.3	73.3	-0.36	57.5	46.9
Connor Sevilla	G	2	26.5	10.0	2.0	1.0	0.5	0.0	1.0	10.5	2.0	3	2	1.5	2.3	28.6	16.7	66.7	-0.67	40.1	33.3
Brayden Fagbemi	G	2	32.5	9.0	3.0	6.0	3.0	0.0	1.5	7.0	12.5	10	2	5.0	6.2	35.7	33.3	70.0	-0.13	48.9	39.3
Isaiah Chappell	F	2	29.5	8.0	4.0	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.5	6.0	6.0	18	2	9.0	12.3	50.0	40.0	0	0.89	66.7	66.7
Omer Suljanovic	F	2	21.0	5.5	6.5	1.0	0.5	0.0	1.0	6.5	6.0	19	2	9.5	18.1	30.8	33.3	50.0	0.26	37.3	34.6
Chase Rawlins	G	2	15.0	5.0	1.5	1.0	2.0	0.0	1.5	3.5	4.5	5	2	2.5	6.6	57.1	0.0	66.7	0.09	60.1	57.1
Clarence Massamba	G	1	17.0	4.0	4.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	3.0	4.0	4.0	-4	1	-4.0	-9.4	25.0	0.0	66.7	-0.05	37.6	25.0
Aleks Szymczyk	C	2	8.5	2.5	1.5	0.0	0.5	0.5	0.5	2.5	2.0	-10	2	-5.0	-24.3	40.0	50.0	0.0	-1.98	42.5	50.0
Ylan Esso-Essis	G	2	13.5	1.0	2.5	0.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	3.0	-0.5	-4	2	-2.0	-5.9	16.7	0.0	0	-0.24	16.7	16.7
Julian Dabrowski	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Julian Margrave	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Koby Moir	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Nnadalu Noble	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former UC Davis players in EuroLeague 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last UC Davis game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player	At School	League	Team	GP	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	Last game	Last 30 days
Chima Moneke	2016-18	EuroLeague	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	10	20.5	10.3	4.6	1.5	11-06 2 pts, 7 reb, 1 ast	6 GP, 10.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 1.8 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date	Player	League	Team	Opponent	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	Box
2026-11-06	Chima Moneke	EuroLeague	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	@ Olympiacos Piraeus	19	2	7	1	Box
2026-10-29	Chima Moneke	EuroLeague	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	vs FC Bayern Munich	20	15	5	5	Box
2026-10-27	Chima Moneke	EuroLeague	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	22	2	4	3	Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

114 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Veniamin AbosiIsaiah ChappellJalen StokesConnor SevillaBrayden FagbemiOmer SuljanovicAleks SzymczykClarence MassambaYlan Esso-Essis

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	10-16	62.5	20	Brayden Fagbemi 20% (4 pts)	Omer Suljanovic 20% (4 pts)	Omer Suljanovic 50% (3 misses)	Jalen Stokes 33% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	19-44	43.2	38	Jalen Stokes 21% (8 pts)	Veniamin Abosi 21% (8 pts)	Connor Sevilla 20% (5 misses)	Jalen Stokes 20% (5 misses)
Mid-range left	2-4	50.0	4	Connor Sevilla 50% (2 pts)	Jalen Stokes 50% (2 pts)	Brayden Fagbemi 50% (1 misses)	Ylan Esso-Essis 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center	1-2	50.0	2	Connor Sevilla 100% (2 pts)	-	Brayden Fagbemi 100% (1 misses)	-
Mid-range right	0-2	0.0	0	-	-	Brayden Fagbemi 100% (2 misses)	-
Left corner 3	2-9	22.2	6	Connor Sevilla 50% (3 pts)	Omer Suljanovic 50% (3 pts)	Ylan Esso-Essis 43% (3 misses)	Connor Sevilla 29% (2 misses)
Right corner 3	2-7	28.6	6	Aleks Szymczyk 50% (3 pts)	Jalen Stokes 50% (3 pts)	Clarence Massamba 20% (1 misses)	Connor Sevilla 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left	1-12	8.3	3	Isaiah Chappell 100% (3 pts)	-	Connor Sevilla 36% (4 misses)	Chase Rawlins 18% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center	3-10	30.0	9	Isaiah Chappell 67% (6 pts)	Connor Sevilla 33% (3 pts)	Connor Sevilla 43% (3 misses)	Brayden Fagbemi 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right	4-8	50.0	12	Veniamin Abosi 50% (6 pts)	Brayden Fagbemi 25% (3 pts)	Isaiah Chappell 25% (1 misses)	Jalen Stokes 25% (1 misses)