North Florida Ospreys

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: North Florida Ospreys

Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

62.2

PPG

70.5

Opp

-8.3

Margin

39.5%

FG%

28.4%

3P%

71.5%

FT%

33.5

RPG

12.8

APG

18.7

72.6

Est. poss./game

58.9

Adj PPG

70.4

Adj Opp PPG

#294

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	731 (#305)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	823 (#289)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	892 (#306)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	-12.2 (#293)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	-10.8 (#288)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.159 (#298)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.7 More →	0.159 (#298)	NetEff -12.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.8 More →	0.114 (#291)	AdjNet -17.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.1 More →	0.109 (#290)	AdjNet -18.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.9 \| AdjD 70.4 More →	0.261 (#294)	AdjO 58.9 \| AdjD 70.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.0 \| AdjD 66.4 More →	0.359 (#273)	AdjO 60.0 \| AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.216 (#298)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.232 (#297)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 161 \| GP 28 More →	786 (#308)	RD 161 \| GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	@	Florida Gators	L	62 - 96
2025-11-05	vs	Palm Beach Atlantic Sailfish	W	70 - 67
2025-11-12	@	Tulane Green Wave	L	54 - 77
2025-11-14	@	South Alabama Jaguars	L	46 - 83
2025-11-20	@	Georgia Lady Bulldogs	L	46 - 92
2025-11-28	vs	Bethune-Cookman Wildcats	W	61 - 57
2025-11-29	vs	Campbell Fighting Camels	W	56 - 53
2025-12-04	@	Georgia Southern Eagles	L	44 - 70
2025-12-06	@	UNC Asheville Bulldogs	W	76 - 61
2025-12-16	vs	Coastal Georgia Mariner	W	96 - 82
2025-12-21	@	Clemson Tigers	L	62 - 84
2026-01-01	vs	Lipscomb Bisons	L	65 - 67
2026-01-03	vs	Austin Peay Governors	L	55 - 80
2026-01-08	@	West Georgia Wolves	L	61 - 76
2026-01-10	@	Queens University Royals	W	64 - 51
2026-01-15	vs	North Alabama Lions	L	54 - 56
2026-01-17	vs	Central Arkansas Sugar Bears	L	72 - 79
2026-01-22	@	Bellarmine Knights	W	81 - 58
2026-01-24	@	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	L	54 - 88
2026-01-29	@	Austin Peay Governors	W	69 - 66
2026-01-31	@	Lipscomb Bisons	L	65 - 73
2026-02-05	vs	Stetson Hatters	L	56 - 74
2026-02-07	vs	West Georgia Wolves	L	68 - 75
2026-02-12	vs	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	L	51 - 55
2026-02-14	vs	Jacksonville Dolphins	L	52 - 58
2026-02-19	@	Stetson Hatters	L	68 - 73
2026-02-21	vs	Queens University Royals	W	62 - 51
2026-02-25	@	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	L	55 - 58
2026-02-27	@	Jacksonville Dolphins	L	71 - 79
2026-03-03	@	West Georgia Wolves	L	71 - 76

2026 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Alonya Waldon	G	29	22.4	10.7	2.7	2.5	1.4	0.1	3.8	8.0	5.6	-20	26	-0.8	-1.4	40.9	30.2	74.0	3.44	53.8	46.6
Dezuray McGill	F	29	21.5	10.2	4.3	0.4	0.7	0.7	1.8	8.7	5.7	-73	25	-2.9	-5.2	50.4	35.7	68.9	-1.47	54.3	52.4
Jamisyn Stinson	G	30	26.8	10.2	3.4	1.2	1.0	0.2	1.3	9.8	4.8	-115	26	-4.4	-6.8	38.6	30.6	77.3	-0.8	50.1	48.8
Alexa Washington	G	29	30.7	8.6	3.3	2.9	1.7	0.0	3.3	8.7	4.4	-109	25	-4.4	-5.7	34.7	28.1	75.0	-0.43	45.0	41.0
Elle Blatchford	G	30	24.3	6.7	2.5	1.6	1.2	0.2	1.8	5.9	4.5	-89	26	-3.4	-5.6	44.9	29.7	83.3	-1.15	53.6	51.1
Karyzma Pierre	F	30	22.6	4.5	4.8	1.8	0.7	0.2	1.4	4.3	6.3	-102	26	-3.9	-7.1	35.7	31.8	63.2	-2.7	43.8	38.4
Megan Verbeeten	G	5	15.6	4.4	1.6	0.4	0.6	0.8	1.2	5.4	1.2	-	-	-	-	33.3	33.3	0	-5.46	40.7	40.7
Georgi Buzzetti	F	30	19.0	3.6	3.8	0.7	0.6	0.8	1.1	3.6	4.8	-96	26	-3.7	-8.0	38.3	25.9	61.3	-3.95	44.8	41.6
Soraya Ogaldez	G	23	9.7	3.6	1.0	0.8	0.6	0.0	1.2	3.2	1.6	-31	20	-1.6	-6.6	43.2	21.4	78.9	0.33	49.8	45.3
Jamison Cardwell	G	26	11.4	2.9	2.8	0.7	0.6	0.1	1.2	3.7	2.2	-91	22	-4.1	-14.8	28.4	23.4	52.6	-4.14	36.3	34.2
Nicole Carreno	F	19	7.7	1.7	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.6	2.7	0.6	-16	15	-1.1	-6.3	26.9	13.3	100.0	-1.58	31.5	30.8
Abby Knauff	G	30	10.2	1.6	1.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.5	1.6	1.2	-76	26	-2.9	-12.1	32.7	24.1	88.9	-3.75	44.4	39.8
Claire Davis	F	4	6.2	1.2	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.8	0.2	-	-	-	-	28.6	25.0	0	-4.01	35.7	35.7
Jordan Brooks	C	2	2.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-2.35	0.0	0.0
Jadah Toombs	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1749 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Jamisyn StinsonDezuray McGillAlexa WashingtonElle BlatchfordKaryzma PierreGeorgi BuzzettiNicole Carreno

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	153-287	53.3	306	Dezuray McGill 16% (48 pts)	Jamisyn Stinson 16% (48 pts)	Dezuray McGill 20% (27 misses)	Alonya Waldon 17% (23 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	314-679	46.2	628	Dezuray McGill 27% (170 pts)	Alonya Waldon 15% (92 pts)	Dezuray McGill 19% (69 misses)	Alexa Washington 16% (58 misses)
Mid-range left	9-34	26.5	18	Georgi Buzzetti 33% (6 pts)	Alexa Washington 22% (4 pts)	Georgi Buzzetti 32% (8 misses)	Dezuray McGill 24% (6 misses)
Mid-range center	10-37	27.0	20	Dezuray McGill 40% (8 pts)	Alexa Washington 20% (4 pts)	Karyzma Pierre 19% (5 misses)	Alexa Washington 11% (3 misses)
Mid-range right	10-28	35.7	20	Dezuray McGill 30% (6 pts)	Jamisyn Stinson 30% (6 pts)	Nicole Carreno 17% (3 misses)	Dezuray McGill 11% (2 misses)
Left corner 3	21-67	31.3	63	Elle Blatchford 29% (18 pts)	Georgi Buzzetti 19% (12 pts)	Elle Blatchford 33% (15 misses)	Alexa Washington 17% (8 misses)
Right corner 3	6-39	15.4	18	Jamisyn Stinson 67% (12 pts)	Elle Blatchford 33% (6 pts)	Jamisyn Stinson 27% (9 misses)	Alexa Washington 18% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left	67-227	29.5	201	Jamisyn Stinson 42% (84 pts)	Alexa Washington 12% (24 pts)	Jamisyn Stinson 28% (44 misses)	Alexa Washington 15% (24 misses)
Above-break 3 center	45-143	31.5	135	Alexa Washington 33% (45 pts)	Alonya Waldon 29% (39 pts)	Jamisyn Stinson 29% (28 misses)	Alexa Washington 19% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 right	55-208	26.4	165	Jamisyn Stinson 31% (51 pts)	Alexa Washington 16% (27 pts)	Jamisyn Stinson 35% (54 misses)	Alexa Washington 16% (25 misses)