Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | +1.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -15 (61-76). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamisyn Stinson * | 32 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 22 | +13.6 |
| Elle Blatchford * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +19.3 |
| Alexa Washington * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | +4.7 |
| Dezuray McGill * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Georgi Buzzetti * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Karyzma Pierre | 23 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +12.9 |
| Alonya Waldon | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Nicki Carreno | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Jamison Cardwell | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -7.8 |
| Abby Knauff | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.6 |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nia Green * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | -3.7 |
| Aileen Marquez * | 32 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Jamaria Freeman * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Journee McDaniel * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Deborah Orianegbena * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Trinity Fields | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -18.6 |
| Clementina Odom | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Kristen McMillan | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -9.5 |
| Jaidyn Koerdt | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -9.8 |
| Sara Yarnell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Taliya Council | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.6 |
* = starter