Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamisyn Stinson | 37 | 6-17 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Karyzma Pierre | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Alexa Washington | 34 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Elle Blatchford | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Dezuray McGill | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Alonya Waldon | 20 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -3 | +0.5 |
| Georgi Buzzetti | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Nicole Carreno | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Jamison Cardwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Abby Knauff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makiya Miller | 39 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | -1.7 |
| Tatum Brown | 38 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Aniah Smith | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Bailey Burns | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Carmaya Bowman | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Priscilla Williams | 19 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -2.8 |
| Comari Mitchell | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -4.6 |
| Sharmela Reid | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Mychal White | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Mariah Knight | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.7 |
* = starter