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North Dakota State

Also known as: North Dakota State Bison
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

63.0
PPG
56.1
Opp
+11.0
Margin
44.2%
FG%
26.4%
3P%
65.0%
FT%
31.0
RPG
11.3
APG
12.3
TO
72.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1356 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1220 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1106 (#47) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +24.9 (#138) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +14.9 (#88) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -21.5 More → 0.077 (#235) NetEff -21.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 56.0 More → 0.679 (#41) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 56.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.845 (#64) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.824 (#65) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 121 | GP 34 More → 1185 (#71) RD 121 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Valley City State Vikings W 93 - 47
2012-11-12 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 61 - 87
2012-11-17 vs Mayville State Comets W 73 - 40
2012-11-19 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 83 - 80
2012-11-20 @ Duquesne Dukes W 57 - 43
2012-11-21 @ James Madison Dukes W 66 - 44
2012-11-24 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 59 - 74
2012-11-29 vs Omaha Mavericks W 95 - 51
2012-12-05 @ Morehead State Eagles W 69 - 57
2012-12-09 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 72 - 52
2012-12-11 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 57 - 70
2012-12-15 @ Towson Tigers W 65 - 48
2012-12-21 vs Morehead State Eagles W 69 - 49
2012-12-29 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 65 - 62
2013-01-03 @ South Dakota Coyotes W 92 - 66
2013-01-05 @ Kansas City Roos W 63 - 44
2013-01-10 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 67 - 55
2013-01-12 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 73 - 65
2013-01-17 @ IUPUI Jaguars W 78 - 40
2013-01-19 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks L 42 - 50
2013-01-26 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 53 - 69
2013-01-31 vs Kansas City Roos W 71 - 34
2013-02-02 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 65 - 46
2013-02-07 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 63 - 66
2013-02-09 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 58 - 54
2013-02-14 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks L 36 - 49
2013-02-16 vs IUPUI Jaguars W 75 - 39
2013-02-22 @ Akron Zips L 53 - 68
2013-02-26 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 63 - 56
2013-03-02 @ Omaha Mavericks W 84 - 57
2013-03-10 vs Kansas City Roos W 69 - 58
2013-03-11 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 55 - 43
2013-03-12 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 67 - 73
2013-03-20 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 71 - 72

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Braun T. Braun G 24 30.9 15.4 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.3 2.7 2.0 20.8 198 8.2 11.6 42.6 42.1 53.3 1.22 345.1 51.1
M. Bjorklund M. Bjorklund F 34 27.3 11.5 5.9 1.2 0.4 0.5 1.7 1.7 16.2 232 6.8 10.8 61.4 0 57.1 0.7 295.9 61.4
L. Alexander L. Alexander G 34 34.2 10.8 3.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 2.6 2.1 14.6 297 8.7 10.5 47.2 24.0 76.7 1.46 216.0 51.4
T. Wright T. Wright F 34 28.0 10.3 6.0 0.7 0.9 1.8 0.9 2.0 16.7 248 7.3 11.9 34.3 21.9 71.4 1.07 249.7 39.6
M. Felt M. Felt G 34 19.2 8.0 1.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.9 8.1 200 5.9 11.1 35.4 31.5 81.8 1.13 194.7 48.5
K. Brown K. Brown G 34 25.1 4.9 3.1 2.1 1.1 0.3 1.4 1.0 9.2 242 7.1 12.5 42.4 33.3 70.0 1.11 199.8 45.5
C. Kading C. Kading F 34 17.0 4.4 3.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.2 1.1 7.9 124 3.6 7.7 58.3 25.0 68.8 0.27 171.9 61.1
J. Aaberg J. Aaberg F 21 6.7 2.6 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 4.7 56 2.5 12.3 71.4 0 50.0 0.33 313.9 71.4
N. Zastrow N. Zastrow G 30 8.1 2.2 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.3 3.4 147 4.7 18.1 25.0 33.3 50.0 0.91 286.5 37.5
B. VandenBergh B. VandenBergh F 31 16.3 1.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.5 3.9 121 3.8 8.0 40.0 38.5 50.0 0.46 185.8 56.7
J. Mauch J. Mauch - 8 4.1 1.5 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.5 -17 -1.9 -18.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.35 208.3 0.0
F. Newell F. Newell G 18 3.4 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.1 3 0.1 1.1 33.3 0 25.0 -0.2 199.6 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG