Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas City Roos | North Dakota State Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota State Bison +37 (71-34). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estan Tyler * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | -20.0 |
| Brad Reid * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | -16.2 |
| Trinity Hall * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -11.5 |
| Nelson Kirksey * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +4.0 |
| Aaron Washington * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Thomas Staton | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -23.1 |
| John Burke | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -10.9 |
| Nate Rogers | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Mason Wedel | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.8 |
| Caleb Johnson | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Kirk Korver | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Trevor Franklin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett VandenBergh * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Lawrence Alexander * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +14.5 |
| Kory Brown * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +16.6 |
| Marshall Bjorklund * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +8.8 |
| TrayVonn Wright * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Mike Felt | 21 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +23.9 |
| Chris Kading | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +17.2 |
| Nate Zastrow | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Jordan Aaberg | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Fred Newell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Jamie Mauch | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter