Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +8 (50-42). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Felt * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | -2.5 |
| TrayVonn Wright * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8.8 |
| Lawrence Alexander * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Marshall Bjorklund * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -8.9 |
| Chris Kading * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -8.9 |
| Brett VandenBergh | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Jordan Aaberg | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Kory Brown | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.5 |
| Nate Zastrow | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.3 |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceola Clark III * | 38 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +15.9 |
| Jack Houpt * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +14.6 |
| Terell Parks * | 34 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | +8.7 |
| Remy Roberts-Burnett * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Adam Link * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Don McAvoy III | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +8.0 |
| Jordan Foster | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Michael Ochereobia | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6.5 |
* = starter