Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Dakota State Jackrabbits +16 (69-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Alexander * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -11.2 |
| Marshall Bjorklund * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -12.0 |
| Mike Felt * | 34 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -5.6 |
| TrayVonn Wright * | 26 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Kory Brown * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Brett VandenBergh | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -21.7 |
| Chris Kading | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11.2 |
| Nate Zastrow | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Jordan Aaberg | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.1 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Carlson * | 39 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +17.4 |
| Nate Wolters * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | +16.9 |
| Chad White * | 39 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +14.1 |
| Jordan Dykstra * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +11.5 |
| Tony Fiegen * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +19.6 |
| Marcus Heemstra | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Jake Bittle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Zach Horstman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
* = starter