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North Carolina Tar Heels

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2022 Team Stats (21 games)

67.7
PPG
59.8
Opp
+7.9
Margin
38.6%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
73.6%
FT%
40.2
RPG
12.8
APG
14.1
TO
85.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1209 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1309 (#33) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +46.0 (#24) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.940 (#14) -

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-15 vs Jacksonville Dolphins - Preview
2021-12-19 @ Boston College Eagles W 76 - 73
2021-12-30 vs Syracuse Orange W 79 - 43
2022-01-02 vs Clemson Tigers W 81 - 62
2022-01-06 @ NC State Wolfpack L 45 - 72
2022-01-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 71 - 46
2022-01-16 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 65 - 70
2022-01-20 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 61 - 52
2022-01-23 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 38 - 55
2022-01-27 @ Duke Blue Devils W 78 - 62
2022-01-30 vs NC State Wolfpack L 58 - 66
2022-02-03 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 78 - 59
2022-02-06 vs Miami Hurricanes W 85 - 38
2022-02-10 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 64 - 54
2022-02-13 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 61 - 66
2022-02-17 vs Louisville Cardinals W 66 - 65
2022-02-20 @ Florida State Seminoles W 64 - 49
2022-02-24 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 68 - 57
2022-03-04 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 80 - 87
2022-03-19 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks W 79 - 66
2022-03-21 @ Arizona Wildcats W 63 - 45
2022-03-25 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 61 - 69

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Kelly D. Kelly G 21 34.2 17.1 3.8 2.8 1.4 0.3 2.6 15.2 7.6 91 3.8 22.3 36.4 35.0 87.5 0.9 49.2 42.0
A. Ustby A. Ustby G 21 33.4 11.6 8.1 2.5 1.7 0.6 2.8 12.3 9.4 85 3.4 19.5 39.1 29.2 57.1 1.84 43.6 41.9
K. Todd-Williams K. Todd-Williams G 21 31.0 11.4 5.4 2.0 1.7 0.5 1.8 9.3 9.9 -32 -1.5 -13.3 44.6 24.2 80.6 0.29 53.8 48.5
E. Hodgson E. Hodgson G 20 25.8 8.4 2.5 2.6 1.2 0.1 2.0 7.0 5.8 - - - 37.6 34.1 87.2 3.78 53.1 47.5
C. Littlefield C. Littlefield G 21 31.0 8.3 3.9 2.2 1.2 0.2 2.0 8.7 5.1 - - - 32.2 25.3 75.0 1.07 42.6 37.7
A. Poole A. Poole F 21 21.2 6.0 6.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.2 4.8 8.8 34 1.6 15.4 54.0 0 63.3 -0.08 56.1 54.0
D. Adams D. Adams G 18 7.8 2.7 2.6 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.6 2.4 3.3 75 4.2 23.1 39.5 0 51.7 1.27 43.9 39.5
A. Zelaya A. Zelaya F 19 10.6 1.8 2.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.4 1.6 139 7.0 33.0 28.3 9.5 50.0 2.35 33.6 30.4
M. Tshitenge M. Tshitenge F 15 7.4 1.2 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.8 - - - 46.7 0 66.7 1.61 51.0 46.7
M. Wiggins M. Wiggins G 12 5.8 0.7 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.8 104 6.9 35.3 20.0 14.3 25.0 1.24 23.9 23.3
J. Murray J. Murray F 5 4.8 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG