Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✗ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Todd-Williams | 35 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| A. Ustby | 32 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Kelly | 31 | 2-15 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Littlefield | 25 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Poole | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Adams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Wiggins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Goodchild | 30 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| S. Day-Wilson | 29 | 3-16 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Volker | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Gordon | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Williams | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| E. Balogun | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| O. Akinbode-James | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Havas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Finklea-Guity | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter