Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.8% | 16.2% | -9.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (57-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ustby | 35 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| D. Kelly | 34 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Littlefield | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Poole | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wiggins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Adams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Toi | 40 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| T. Valladay | 29 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. McLean | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Dale | 22 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Lawson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Bristol | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Pitts | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Parker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter