Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (61-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Valladay | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 9 | - |
| A. Toi | 34 | 4-16 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -4 | - |
| E. Parker | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Lawson | 26 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Miller | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Dale | 15 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Bristol | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Pitts | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Todd-Williams | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Kelly | 27 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 27 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Littlefield | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Ustby | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Poole | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Wiggins | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Adams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Murray | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter