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2022-01-06

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +27 (72-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kelly 38 8-24 2-6 3-3 4 0 3 0 4 21 0 -
A. Ustby 34 3-10 2-3 4-6 12 1 1 0 6 12 10 -
K. Todd-Williams 27 0-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Littlefield 25 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 2 -2 -
E. Hodgson 24 2-12 1-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 5 -7 -
A. Poole 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
A. Zelaya 13 0-2 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 1 3 -
D. Adams 10 0-1 0-0 2-4 6 0 2 0 1 2 8 -
M. Wiggins 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Tshitenge 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Crutchfield 30 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 6 5 -
E. Cunane 30 6-8 3-4 4-4 13 1 0 1 2 19 24 -
R. Perez 30 3-12 2-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 8 -3 -
J. Brown-Turner 29 3-11 1-6 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 7 1 -
D. Johnson 21 3-8 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 7 3 -
J. Boyd 19 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 8 8 -
K. Jones 14 4-4 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 9 11 -
C. Hobby 10 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Hayes 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
A. James 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
J. Timmons 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
G. Bryant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter