Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +27 (72-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 38 | 8-24 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | - |
| A. Ustby | 34 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 27 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Littlefield | 25 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 24 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | - |
| A. Poole | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Adams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Wiggins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Crutchfield | 30 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Cunane | 30 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| R. Perez | 30 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | - |
| J. Brown-Turner | 29 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 21 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Boyd | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Jones | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Hobby | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Hayes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. James | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Timmons | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Bryant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter