Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Van Lith | 36 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Robinson | 31 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Smith | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| O. Cochran | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| E. Engstler | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Hall | 24 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Dixon | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 10 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| P. Verhulst | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kelly | 38 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| C. Littlefield | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 34 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| A. Ustby | 34 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Poole | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Adams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter