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North Carolina Tar Heels

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2019 Team Stats (8 games)

73.3
PPG
74.6
Opp
-1.4
Margin
42.1%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
33.0
RPG
12.0
APG
10.6
TO
81.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1372 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1340 (#47) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +42.9 (#25) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.961 (#24) -

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-22 @ UCLA Bruins W 83 - 49
2019-01-03 @ Louisville Cardinals L 66 - 73
2019-01-13 @ Syracuse Orange L 77 - 90
2019-01-27 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 78 - 73
2019-02-03 @ NC State Wolfpack W 64 - 51
2019-02-24 vs NC State Wolfpack L 69 - 74
2019-03-08 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 77 - 95
2019-03-23 @ California Golden Bears L 72 - 92

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
P. Kea P. Kea G 8 35.4 22.2 2.6 3.8 1.5 0.2 1.9 16.2 12.2 - - - 49.2 41.5 77.8 1.72 61.0 57.7
S. Watts S. Watts G 5 36.2 17.0 5.6 1.8 1.6 1.4 2.0 13.2 12.2 - - - 47.0 41.7 88.9 1.23 60.7 58.3
J. Bailey J. Bailey C 8 35.8 16.0 8.6 0.8 1.0 0.5 1.6 13.9 11.4 - - - 44.1 8.3 70.7 1.52 49.6 44.6
T. Koenen T. Koenen G 8 36.5 10.6 6.0 2.0 1.9 0.6 1.6 9.1 10.4 - - - 38.4 27.3 76.7 0.97 49.3 42.5
S. Bennett S. Bennett G 8 33.9 9.6 3.5 3.1 0.6 0.1 2.2 8.9 5.9 - - - 35.2 26.5 75.0 0.31 47.2 41.5
D. Walker D. Walker G 1 15.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 1.33 51.5 33.3
J. Jones J. Jones G 8 14.0 1.9 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.8 3.1 1.4 94 3.1 13.1 28.0 0.0 25.0 -0.32 28.0 28.0
L. Church L. Church G 8 12.6 1.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6 1.4 - - - 23.1 23.1 100.0 0.14 39.6 34.6
J. Murray J. Murray F 8 5.8 0.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.6 - - - 25.0 0.0 50.0 0.55 30.7 25.0
L. Roberts L. Roberts G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Van Nes N. Van Nes C 4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.35 0 0
C. Dickey C. Dickey G 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
H. West H. West F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG