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North Carolina Tar Heels 77
@
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 95
2019-03-08

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 ✓ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - ✓

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +18 (95-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bennett 40 7-13 3-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 17 10 -
P. Kea 39 10-19 5-10 2-2 1 2 1 2 1 27 13 -
J. Bailey 38 8-13 0-0 3-5 10 1 1 0 2 19 16 -
T. Koenen 31 3-8 0-1 2-2 6 5 1 0 3 8 9 -
J. Jones 28 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 4 0 -
L. Church 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Murray 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 2 -
N. Van Nes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Dickey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ogunbowale 34 11-23 5-9 1-2 4 4 3 0 1 28 15 -
J. Young 32 7-11 1-1 4-4 7 9 1 0 2 19 23 -
B. Turner 31 11-15 0-0 2-3 10 1 2 1 0 24 23 -
M. Mabrey 30 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 7 5 -
J. Shepard 30 7-9 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 4 14 12 -
D. Patterson 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
A. Prohaska 16 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Vaughn 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Nixon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Butler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter