Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Konig | 40 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Leslie | 40 | 8-26 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 5 | - |
| E. Cunane | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Rogers | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| K. Jones | 19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| E. McGoldrick | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kea | 40 | 11-17 | 3-7 | 7-11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 24 | - |
| S. Bennett | 40 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Bailey | 34 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Koenen | 33 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Church | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Murray | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter