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2018-11-22

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.4 (46.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -34 (49-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bennett 34 4-9 1-6 4-6 5 4 2 1 2 13 14 -
T. Koenen 34 3-8 0-2 6-7 4 1 2 1 2 12 10 -
S. Watts 28 5-11 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 1 2 14 5 -
P. Kea 28 6-12 2-4 1-1 0 5 0 0 0 15 8 -
J. Bailey 25 7-9 0-1 6-6 11 0 1 1 1 20 23 -
J. Murray 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
D. Walker 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Jones 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Church 5 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Van Nes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. West 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Roberts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Burke 29 7-14 3-4 4-4 7 2 1 1 1 21 17 -
L. Corsaro 29 2-9 0-6 3-3 4 2 0 0 1 7 3 -
L. Drummer 27 0-6 0-0 5-8 10 0 1 1 3 5 8 -
K. Jefferson 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Dean 19 1-5 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 3 -4 -
A. Smith 18 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -6 -
M. Onyenwere 18 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
L. Miller 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
S. Harris 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
K. Owens 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
C. Baird 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter