Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bailey | 40 | 4-9 | -2 | 8-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | |
| S. Bennett | 40 | 1-8 | -4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | ||
| T. Koenen | 40 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 3 | |
| S. Watts | 40 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 |
| P. Kea | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | ||
| J. Jones | 9 | 1-3 | - | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |||
| L. Church | 5 | -2 | -2 | - | 1 | -1 | |||||
| J. Murray | 0 | - | - | - | 0 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #3904553 | 32 | 3-13 | -7 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 |
| S. Fuehring | 31 | 4-7 | -2 | - | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | ||
| Player #4065850 | 31 | 7-11 | -2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 |
| Player #4281190 | 30 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | |
| Player #4065849 | 28 | 4-8 | -1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | |
| A. Carter | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | |
| B. Dunham | 20 | 2-5 | - | - | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | |
| M. Robinson | 1 | - | - | - | 0 |
* = starter