Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bailey | 40 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| S. Bennett | 40 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Koenen | 40 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| S. Watts | 40 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| P. Kea | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Church | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Murray | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Durr | 32 | 3-13 | 0-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Fuehring | 31 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 31 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| D. Evans | 30 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Shook | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Carter | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| B. Dunham | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter