Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -13 (51-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Koenen | 40 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| P. Kea | 39 | 6-23 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | - |
| J. Bailey | 36 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. Watts | 35 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| S. Bennett | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Church | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Murray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Konig | 40 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Leslie | 40 | 5-18 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Rogers | 36 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| E. Cassell | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Cunane | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Jones | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter