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Norfolk State

Also known as: Norfolk State Spartans
Program History

2012 Team Stats (3 games)

72.7
PPG
78.3
Opp
-5.7
Margin
42.2%
FG%
28.6%
3P%
61.5%
FT%
37.3
RPG
11.7
APG
10.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.8
Adj PPG
66.5
Adj Opp PPG
#191
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1020 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1146 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1131 (#27) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.0 (#199) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.9 (#210) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.559 (#136) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More โ†’ 0.389 (#203) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.1 More โ†’ 0.384 (#207) AdjNet -4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.5 More โ†’ 0.463 (#191) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 66.3 More โ†’ 0.480 (#184) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 66.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.539 (#150) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.543 (#147) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1129 (#90) RD 112 | GP 32

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-14 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 68 - 99
2011-11-16 vs Randolph College Wildcats W 63 - 43
2011-11-18 @ Drexel Dragons W 61 - 56
2011-11-20 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 66 - 53
2011-11-21 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 57 - 59
2011-11-27 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 70 - 63
2011-11-30 vs Elizabeth City Vikings L 57 - 69
2011-12-03 vs Savannah State Tigers W 60 - 58
2011-12-05 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 82 - 67
2011-12-11 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 60 - 73
2011-12-14 vs Long Island University Sharks W 73 - 62
2011-12-18 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 36 - 68
2011-12-20 @ Toledo Rockets W 72 - 70
2011-12-23 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 84 - 74
2012-01-01 @ Navy Midshipmen W 71 - 65
2012-01-07 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 78 - 72
2012-01-09 vs Howard Bison W 68 - 48
2012-01-14 @ Morgan State Bears W 90 - 89
2012-01-16 @ Coppin State Eagles W 74 - 66
2012-01-24 vs Morehead State Eagles L 69 - 75
2012-01-28 vs Morgan State Bears W 76 - 59
2012-01-30 vs Coppin State Eagles L 82 - 87
2012-02-04 @ Delaware State Hornets L 50 - 67
2012-02-06 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 72 - 60
2012-02-15 vs Delaware State Hornets L 63 - 73
2012-02-20 vs Longwood Lancers W 66 - 52
2012-02-25 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 75 - 72
2012-02-27 @ Florida A&M Rattlers W 79 - 70
2012-03-01 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 72 - 65
2012-03-07 vs Howard Bison W 71 - 61
2012-03-09 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 58 - 46
2012-03-10 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 73 - 70
2012-03-16 @ Missouri Tigers W 86 - 84
2012-03-18 @ Florida Gators L 50 - 84

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kyle O'Quinn Kyle O'Quinn C 34 31.0 15.6 10.1 1.4 0.7 2.6 2.6 2.8 25.2 135 23 5.9 8.7 58.9 22.2 58.3 3.9 219.1 60.0
Chris McEachin Chris McEachin G-F 34 29.6 12.2 2.9 1.2 1.2 0.6 2.0 3.1 13.0 83 23 3.6 5.3 33.0 28.8 71.4 2.06 170.9 40.1
Pendarvis Williams Pendarvis Williams G 33 29.1 12.2 3.8 2.5 0.9 0.3 2.0 2.2 15.5 28 22 1.3 1.9 60.3 55.9 63.6 -1.41 243.1 73.3
Marcos Tamares Marcos Tamares F 34 22.1 7.3 2.6 0.6 0.7 0.3 1.4 2.1 8.1 48 23 2.1 4.1 47.2 35.0 63.2 -0.96 154.9 52.1
Rob Johnson Rob Johnson F 23 17.0 5.5 2.8 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.5 1.1 6.7 -18 19 -0.9 -2.7 23.1 0.0 100.0 -3.7 236.2 23.1
Brandon Wheeless Brandon Wheeless G-F 33 15.8 5.3 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.8 1.5 6.5 -7 23 -0.3 -0.9 40.8 27.8 56.2 -5.26 157.0 45.9
Rodney McCauley Rodney McCauley G-F 34 18.3 3.4 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.0 0.9 6.4 23 23 1.0 2.5 40.6 10.0 45.5 -1.83 158.8 42.2
Jamel Fuentes Jamel Fuentes G 34 18.4 3.1 2.6 2.9 0.7 0.1 1.8 0.4 7.2 76 23 3.3 8.8 60.0 0 52.4 1.4 158.3 60.0
Quasim Pugh Quasim Pugh G 24 11.5 2.9 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.7 4.2 -15 19 -0.8 -3.5 29.4 0.0 75.0 -2.0 170.6 29.4
A.J. Rogers A.J. Rogers F 34 10.3 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 3.8 -6 23 -0.3 -1.3 52.9 0 66.7 -0.3 207.5 52.9
Brandon Goode Brandon Goode C 19 4.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 1.6 -12 12 -1.0 -9.5 0.0 0 50.0 -0.43 505.3 0.0
Winston Graham Winston Graham - 11 5.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.9 - - - - 37.5 20.0 0 - 68.8 43.8
Kris Brown Kris Brown G 12 3.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 -17 8 -2.1 -36.4 0.0 0.0 0 -3.7 87.5 0.0
Kievyn Lila-St. Rose Kievyn Lila-St. Rose G 11 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.6 -25 8 -3.1 -38.8 25.0 0.0 0 -3.64 75.0 25.0
Reggie Revels Reggie Revels G-F 7 5.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 - - - - 0 0 0 0.88 0 0
Riley Maye Riley Maye F 11 2.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 -19 7 -2.7 -44.8 0 0 50.0 -3.06 170.5 0
Jordan Weathers Jordan Weathers G 16 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 -20 9 -2.2 -33.9 0.0 0.0 0 -3.03 75.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG