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2012-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Norfolk State Spartans Coppin State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% -6.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 77.6% 22.4% - โœ“
Margin 59.7% 40.3% -2.2 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“

Actual: Coppin State Eagles -8 (66-74). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pendarvis Williams 36 9-12 6-8 1-2 6 4 0 0 1 25 22 -
Kyle O'Quinn 33 11-15 0-1 2-4 19 2 0 2 2 24 30 -
Chris McEachin 25 2-10 0-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 6 0 -
Rob Johnson 22 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
Jamel Fuentes 21 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 6 3 0 1 0 7 -
Marcos Tamares 16 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 1 1 7 4 -
Brandon Wheeless 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Rodney McCauley 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
Winston Graham 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A.J. Rogers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Quasim Pugh 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
Kievyn Lila-St. Rose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jordan Weathers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Goode 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Coppin State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Williams 33 6-10 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 0 0 14 16 -
Logan Wiens 33 7-13 3-6 3-3 1 3 0 1 2 20 10 -
Taariq Cephas 32 1-4 0-2 1-2 2 3 2 0 3 3 3 -
Michael Murray 27 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
Michael Harper 25 3-7 2-6 3-5 1 3 2 0 1 11 9 -
Tony Gallo 21 1-8 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -6 -
Akeem Ellis 17 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 8 3 -
Mike Simpson 7 1-3 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Brandon St. Louis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rodney Edwards 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter