Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -2 (70-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Pendarvis Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Chris McEachin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Rodney McCauley * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Marcos Tamares * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rob Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Quasim Pugh | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jamel Fuentes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Wheeless | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Rogers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian Pearson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Dominique Buckley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Reese Holliday * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Curtis Dennis | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Delino Dear | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Majerle | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter