Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +7 (70-63). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Jones * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D'Mitri Riggs * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Joshua Jones * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Mike DiNunno * | 32 | 2-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Eric Stutz * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Allgood | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Johnson | 9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Timmy Knipp | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jabs Newby | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris McEachin * | 41 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Pendarvis Williams * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Rodney McCauley * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcos Tamares * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Wheeless | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jamel Fuentes | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Rogers | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Goode | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Weathers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kris Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Revels | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter