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Murray State

Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History

2025 Team Stats (8 games)

79.5
PPG
70.8
Opp
+1.9
Margin
50.1%
FG%
40.1%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
34.6
RPG
14.0
APG
12.3
TO
76.9
Pace
71.1
AdjO
69.8
AdjD
#140
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 951 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1019 (#161) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.2 (#141) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.517 (#165) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.517 (#169) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.1 More → 0.560 (#138) AdjNet +2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.0 More → 0.558 (#138) AdjNet +2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.531 (#140) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 69.8

2025 Schedule & Results

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jacobi Wood Jacobi Wood G 15 37.1 13.3 3.9 5.3 1.1 0.0 3.3 10.9 9.5 80 2.5 3.2 40.5 36.4 74.1 0.26 53.5 49.1
K. Milton K. Milton G 15 29.7 12.3 4.5 1.5 1.2 0.0 1.4 8.1 10.1 103 3.2 4.5 46.3 32.1 69.1 0.6 59.1 53.3
AJ Ferguson AJ Ferguson G 15 34.8 12.0 5.2 0.7 0.8 0.5 1.9 7.2 10.0 125 3.8 4.8 52.8 48.7 70.1 1.75 65.5 61.6
Terence Harcum Terence Harcum G 15 35.4 11.9 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.2 10.3 4.3 133 4.0 5.2 37.0 33.3 79.5 1.36 52.3 48.1
K. Lindsay-Martin K. Lindsay-Martin F 15 17.3 7.9 4.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.0 5.8 8.3 - - - 56.3 0 74.1 - 59.7 56.3
N. Ellington N. Ellington F 15 19.3 7.7 4.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 5.4 7.1 46 1.5 2.2 54.3 0 48.2 1.11 54.4 54.3
A. Applewhite A. Applewhite F 15 18.1 6.1 3.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.9 3.7 6.7 -51 -3.0 -7.6 44.6 46.4 77.8 -0.29 63.3 56.2
Justin Morgan Justin Morgan G 15 12.4 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 -6 -0.4 -1.5 28.6 16.7 88.9 -0.12 44.1 33.3
J. McCullum J. McCullum F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 1 0.3 6.7 - - - -1.18 - -
B. Moore Jr. B. Moore Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 34 2.1 2.4 - - - 1.15 - -
S. Murray II S. Murray II F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -1 -1.0 -5.6 - - - -1.13 - -
M. Abdelgowad M. Abdelgowad F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -40 -1.8 -3.5 - - - 0.22 - -
C. Ring C. Ring F 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 5 1.7 49.0 0.0 0 0 -1.31 0.0 0.0
Patrick Chew Patrick Chew G 4 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 3 0.8 38.1 0.0 0 0 -1.41 0.0 0.0
J. McCrear J. McCrear F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1.0 60.0 0 0 0 -1.73 0 0
T. Boggess T. Boggess G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 2.0 208.7 0 0 0 -1.84 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG