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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 54.0% 46.0% -0.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% -
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wood 40 4-11 2-6 5-6 1 4 0 0 4 15 5 -10.4
T. Harcum 36 5-13 3-10 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 13 3 -8.8
K. Milton 34 7-12 0-3 4-6 4 1 4 0 3 18 12 -17.5
J. Morgan 20 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 7 -3.4
A. Applewhite 20 0-2 0-1 6-8 4 3 1 0 0 6 12 -2.0
N. Ellington 20 2-8 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -0.1
AJ Ferguson 19 4-7 1-2 3-3 6 0 2 1 1 12 13 +0.2
K. Lindsay-Martin 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 -

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Teel 39 10-13 4-7 2-3 2 2 1 0 3 26 15 +10.8
J. LeGree 24 3-8 1-3 4-4 1 3 0 0 1 11 6 +10.8
K. Doughty 23 3-4 0-1 0-1 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -3.3
C. Wagner 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 +10.6
J. Daughtry 21 4-7 0-0 4-7 7 0 1 0 5 12 8 -9.5
B. Alocen 21 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 5 4 +22.8
M. Harding 18 5-9 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 12 8 -4.7
J. Walker 17 1-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 0 6 9 +12.6
J. Summers 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +6.8

* = starter