Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wood | 40 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | -10.4 |
| T. Harcum | 36 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -8.8 |
| K. Milton | 34 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | -17.5 |
| J. Morgan | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| A. Applewhite | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -2.0 |
| N. Ellington | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -0.1 |
| AJ Ferguson | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +0.2 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Teel | 39 | 10-13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | +10.8 |
| J. LeGree | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +10.8 |
| K. Doughty | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -3.3 |
| C. Wagner | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +10.6 |
| J. Daughtry | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | -9.5 |
| B. Alocen | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +22.8 |
| M. Harding | 18 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -4.7 |
| J. Walker | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +12.6 |
| J. Summers | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.8 |
* = starter