Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Milton | 48 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 10-16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - |
| T. Harcum | 45 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Wood | 45 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| AJ Ferguson | 44 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Applewhite | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Ellington | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Morgan | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Graves | 48 | 9-20 | 1-6 | 12-12 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 20 | - |
| R. Braswell IV | 39 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Rosado | 36 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| R. Rolf | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Blackmon | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Metskhvarishvili | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Reiber | 14 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Folkes | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Bradford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter