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Murray State Racers 68
@
Pittsburgh Panthers 83
2024-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% - ✓
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 ✓ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - ✓
Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 21.4% 78.6% - ✓

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +15 (83-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Harcum * 34 6-14 3-9 0-1 3 3 2 0 1 15 8 -0.1
AJ Ferguson * 33 4-7 1-2 0-1 5 0 1 0 2 9 6 -12.2
J. Wood * 33 4-13 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 10 -5 -18.4
K. Milton * 32 3-8 0-3 5-9 5 4 2 0 0 11 14 -21.0
N. Ellington * 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -1.3
K. Lindsay-Martin 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 10 6 -
A. Applewhite 23 2-4 0-1 7-8 8 1 1 1 3 11 15 -4.3
J. Morgan 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +4.0

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Leggett * 38 6-10 1-3 6-10 7 1 2 1 4 19 16 +17.9
D. Dunn * 36 6-11 3-5 4-6 2 1 1 0 0 19 12 +18.1
C. Corhen * 33 6-8 0-0 1-4 10 2 2 0 3 13 16 +2.1
J. Lowe * 31 6-15 2-4 6-6 2 3 2 1 2 20 11 +9.9
G. Diaz Graham * 21 2-4 1-3 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
Z. Austin 27 0-2 0-1 2-4 8 0 1 5 0 2 14 +18.4
B. Cummings 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 3 -2.4
J. Diaz Graham 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter