Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Nwaokorie | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1.6 |
| S. Edwards | 36 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | -2.2 |
| D. Watson | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -4.4 |
| M. Rubin | 25 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | -0.5 |
| D. Glazkov | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +13.8 |
| C. Reese | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +2.1 |
| J. DeLoach | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -7.5 |
| J. Quinn | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -6.7 |
| S. Hendawy | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +0.3 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wood | 40 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | +2.5 |
| AJ Ferguson | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4.5 |
| T. Harcum | 34 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +6.0 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| K. Milton | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3.0 |
| J. Morgan | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +4.9 |
| N. Ellington | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.2 |
| A. Applewhite | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.6 |
* = starter