Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burford * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -10.4 |
| J. Wells * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | -10.1 |
| L. Ware * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 25 | -13.3 |
| R. Seamster * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -4.3 |
| B. Robinson * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1.4 |
| B. Talbot | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.6 |
| J. Ellingsworth | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -3.8 |
| K. Douglas | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -4.8 |
| T. Hupstead | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wood * | 40 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | +12.2 |
| AJ Ferguson * | 39 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | +14.2 |
| T. Harcum * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +18.3 |
| N. Ellington * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 7 | -6.4 |
| K. Milton * | 22 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -5.1 |
| A. Applewhite | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +17.2 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Morgan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter