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Murray State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History
Coach: Steve Prohm

2024 Team Stats (32 games)

69.8
PPG
69.9
Opp
-0.2
Margin
44.6%
FG%
32.1%
3P%
69.7%
FT%
32.8
RPG
11.5
APG
9.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.8
Adj PPG
68.5
Adj Opp PPG
#158
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 911 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 927 (#241) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More → 934 (#280) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +0.5 (#158) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More → -0.9 (#182) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.450 (#201) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.2 More → 0.533 (#148) AdjNet +1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More → 0.533 (#147) AdjNet +1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.508 (#158) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.452 (#223) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.454 (#197) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.443 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 31 More → 927 (#236) RD 154 | GP 31

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 vs Midway Eagles W 91 - 58
2023-11-10 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 78 - 72
2023-11-14 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 81 - 86
2023-11-20 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 81 - 83
2023-11-22 vs App State Mountaineers L 57 - 67
2023-11-29 vs Bradley Braves W 79 - 72
2023-12-03 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 72 - 76
2023-12-09 @ Austin Peay Governors L 49 - 53
2023-12-13 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 81 - 85
2023-12-16 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 55 - 61
2023-12-18 @ Little Rock Trojans L 66 - 80
2023-12-22 vs SMU Mustangs L 65 - 92
2023-12-30 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 75 - 54
2024-01-02 vs UIC Flames W 85 - 73
2024-01-06 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 81 - 59
2024-01-10 @ Missouri State Bears W 77 - 53
2024-01-14 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 60 - 70
2024-01-17 @ UIC Flames W 73 - 58
2024-01-21 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 63 - 72
2024-01-24 @ Bradley Braves L 63 - 71
2024-01-27 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 58 - 60
2024-01-30 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 59 - 61
2024-02-03 @ Northern Iowa Panthers W 71 - 43
2024-02-07 @ Belmont Bruins L 64 - 69
2024-02-10 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 73 - 70
2024-02-14 vs Missouri State Bears W 82 - 72
2024-02-18 @ Drake Bulldogs L 72 - 95
2024-02-21 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 68 - 72
2024-02-24 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 80 - 68
2024-02-28 vs Belmont Bruins L 61 - 83
2024-03-03 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 77 - 89
2024-03-07 vs Missouri State Bears L 35 - 60

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Quincy Anderson Quincy Anderson G 32 27.0 12.6 4.4 1.1 1.0 0.2 1.1 9.6 8.6 -71 29 -2.4 -3.6 45.9 39.5 72.9 -2.66 58.4 55.4
Jacobi Wood Jacobi Wood G 32 36.2 12.5 4.0 4.1 1.2 0.1 2.0 9.3 10.6 -24 29 -0.8 -0.9 45.0 37.4 82.5 2.08 58.7 53.7
Rob Perry Rob Perry G 32 30.3 11.9 5.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 1.3 11.3 7.8 -44 29 -1.5 -2.0 39.9 29.5 73.5 -1.19 48.7 45.8
Nick Ellington Nick Ellington F 32 27.4 11.3 6.3 0.7 0.8 1.5 1.8 8.1 10.8 -27 29 -0.9 -1.4 58.8 0 51.4 1.2 58.8 58.8
Brian Moore Jr. Brian Moore Jr. G 26 23.0 9.2 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 7.8 3.9 -20 23 -0.9 -1.6 46.5 19.2 78.9 0.69 52.4 47.8
Alden Applewhite Alden Applewhite F 20 18.6 5.2 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.3 5.0 4.2 -2 19 -0.1 -0.2 31.0 29.1 74.3 0.86 45.1 39.0
Justin Morgan Justin Morgan G 32 19.2 3.8 2.5 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.5 3.4 3.9 53 29 1.8 3.9 37.0 25.0 65.8 2.73 49.3 45.4
Malek Abdelgowad Malek Abdelgowad F 19 11.2 3.5 2.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.7 3.5 -18 18 -1.0 -3.7 51.0 0 78.9 0.18 56.4 51.0
Lawrent Rice Lawrent Rice G 15 8.0 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 2.6 2.2 -6 13 -0.5 -2.2 48.7 33.3 50.0 -1.16 55.3 55.1
Shawn Walker Jr. Shawn Walker Jr. G 21 18.3 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 3.3 2.2 -56 19 -2.9 -6.5 36.2 23.7 53.8 -3.97 44.2 42.8
Sam Murray II Sam Murray II F 20 8.1 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.7 -9 17 -0.5 -2.6 39.3 0 66.7 -3.38 45.1 39.3
Patrick Chew Patrick Chew G 17 4.9 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 11 13 0.8 6.8 21.4 27.3 50.0 0.92 34.9 32.1
Jaxon Edwards Jaxon Edwards G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -144 28 -5.1 -8.0 - - - -0.7 - -
Braxton Stacker Braxton Stacker G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -146 25 -5.8 -11.3 - - - -0.86 - -
Fletcher Boatright Fletcher Boatright G 6 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.5 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG