Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +21 (75-54). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Jacob Johnson * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Elias King * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jared Coleman-Jones * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Jordan * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Justin Bufford | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Loofe | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| O'zhell Jackson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tre Green | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ty Mosley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isiah Lightsy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jack Jubenville | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 38 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Rob Perry * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Nick Ellington * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Quincy Anderson * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Justin Morgan * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 21 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Samuel Murray | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Chew | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lawrent Rice | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter